The sharing paradox

Given the fact that the internet causes opinions to spread faster, further and more efficiently, why is it that we do not all share the same views? Econophysicist Diego Garlaschelli and his colleagues have come up with an explanation.

Cat films on YouTube

Men who let their beards grow, a collective social phenomenon to which British Prince William has fallen prey.

Men who let their beards grow, a collective social phenomenon to which British Prince William has fallen prey.

The Internet bubble, high interest rates for Italy, funny cat videos on YouTube, and the unexpected renewed popularity of beards: you can call them fads, hypes or memes, but Diego Garlaschelli, from the Lorentz Institute for Theoretical Physics, prefers the term ‘collective social phenomena’.

Garlaschelli’s econophysics research group focuses on complex systems outside the realm of traditional physics. ‘The models and theories of physics often also apply to complex systems in economics, biology and social sciences,’ says Garlaschelli. Take, for instance, the way in which opinions spread through networks of social contacts like a virus: it simply demands a scientific interpretation.


Basic assumptions

One of the models for this phenomenon makes three basic assumptions. 1: People in your social network influence your opinion. 2. This applies even more to people with whom you share other views. However, … 3. Only if their opinion isn’t too different from your own.

Paradox

Dr Diego Garlaschelli

Dr Diego Garlaschelli

Funnily enough, this model leads to a paradox. ‘If people keep exchanging their views in new ways, as is happening now via Internet, you would expect that the diversity of opinions would decrease,’ Garlaschelli explains. In practice, the opposite seems to be happening: the point at which everyone wholeheartedly agrees with each other now appears more remote than ever.

The paradox emerges even more clearly in a computerised version of the model, which generates thousands of virtual people with randomised views who subsequently influence each other through a network of social contacts.


Throwing out the bathwater

‘In a model like this one you can observe collective social phenomena, but in the long term there is also convergence: everyone ends up sharing the same views,’ Garlaschelli says. This result can be prevented by using a weaker social influence parameter, but then the collective phenomena get thrown out along with the bathwater. There is a flaw in the logic, somewhere.

Realistic data

Another collective social phenomenon: silver-grey is the world's favourite colour for cars, including in the Netherlands.

Another collective social phenomenon: silver-grey is the world's favourite colour for cars, including in the Netherlands.

Garlaschelli and his colleagues draw attention to this flaw in the academic journal PNAS by not using randomly generated initial values, as it is customary to do in computer models. The model does in fact prove to be effective when using realistic data taken from the Eurobarometer, a study of opinion among nearly thirteen thousand Europeans about all kinds of subjects, from nuclear energy to tourism.


Socio-political groupings

Apparently then, according to Garlaschelli’s research, there is a vital structure hidden within real human opinions. People who are strongly in favour of nuclear energy tend to be against subsidies for solar energy. Such associations lead to different clusters of views, or sociopolitical groupings, which may exchange views in the form of fads or hypes, but which will never fuse completely. ‘The hidden structure of our views seems to be made to measure for collective social phenomena, but also for long term diversity,’ Garlaschelli concludes.

Luca Valori, Francesco Picciolo, Agnes E. Allansdottir, Diego Garlaschelli, 'Reconciling long-term cultural diversity and short-term collective social behavior', Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences, 10 January 2012

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Last Modified: 02-02-2012